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  • P-ISSN 2586-2995
  • E-ISSN 2586-4130
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KDI Journal of Economic Policy. Vol. 48, No. 1, February 2026, pp. 95-124

https://doi.org/10.23895/kdijep.2026.48.1.95

× KDI Open Access is a program of fully open access journals to facilitate the widest possible dissemination of high-quality research. All research articles published in KDI JEP are immediately, permanently and freely available online for everyone to read, download and share in terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Recent Socioeconomic Differentials in Marriage Rates in Korea and China: A Comparative Study

MINHEE CHAE

Author & Article History

Manuscript received 13 July 2025; revision received 14 July 2025; accepted 27 November 2025.

Abstract

This paper explores the relationship between socioeconomic status (SES) and the recent rapid decline in marriage rates in China and South Korea, using nationally representative longitudinal data. The analysis shows that recently rising never-married rates (NVMR) are increasingly concentrated among lower-SES individuals, especially in highly urbanised areas in both countries, highlighting the growing significance of financial barriers to family formation in recent years. Furthermore, income has become a stronger predictor of marriage entry by men in both nations. The overall rise in the NVMR reflects delayed marriage among the Chinese population and Korean women, but more persistent singlehood among lower-SES Korean men aged over 35. Notably, the faster growth of the NVMR among lower-SES groups has narrowed overall SES differences in marriage rates, eroding the historical pattern in which lower-SES individuals married earlier and more universally. In other words, marriage differentials based on SES are disappearing on absolute levels. This suggests that while financial constraints remain a key influence, broader structural and cultural shifts — such as evolving gender norms and rising opportunity costs — are also critical for understanding recent marriage declines in East Asia.

Keywords

Marriage, Fertility, Inequality

JEL Code

J1, J12, J13

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