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  • P-ISSN 2586-2995
  • E-ISSN 2586-4130
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KDI Journal of Economic Policy. Vol. 37, No. 2, May 2015, pp. 40-63

https://doi.org/10.23895/kdijep.2015.37.2.40

× KDI Open Access is a program of fully open access journals to facilitate the widest possible dissemination of high-quality research. All research articles published in KDI JEP are immediately, permanently and freely available online for everyone to read, download and share in terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

What Determines the DPRK’s Anthracite Exports to China?: Implications for the DPRK’s Economy

JONG KYU LEE

Author & Article History

Manuscript .

Abstract

Anthracite exports have special value within the DPRK’s economy. In this paper, we focus on what determines the DPRK’s anthracite exports to China. We use panel data consisting of cross-section data from 30 provinces in China and quarterly time-series data from 1998 to 2013. Controlling for all other variables that affect anthracite imports, the variable for steel production in China is robust and statistically significant. This is consistent with on-site interviews which indicate that much of North Korean anthracite is consumed by China’s steel industry. This implies that the North Korean authorities need to make adjustments to the foreign trade structure, as the import demand for anthracite in China may decline further.

Keywords

DPRK Economy, Export, Economic Sanction

JEL Code

F1, F51

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