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  • P-ISSN 1738-656X
  • E-ISSN 2586-4130
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한국개발연구. Vol. 36, No. 2, May 2014, pp. 1-64

https://doi.org/10.23895/kdijep.2014.36.2.1

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Analysis on Korean Economy with an Estimated DSGE Model after 2000

Tae Bong Kim

Author & Article History

Manuscript received 16 July 2013; revision received 05 August 2013; accepted 03 February 2014.

Abstract

This paper attempts to search the driving forces of the Korean economy after 2000 by analyzing an estimated DSGE model and observing the degree of implementation regarding non-systematic parts of both the monetary and fiscal policy during the global financial crisis. Two types of trends, various cyclical factors and frictions are introduced in the model for an empirical analysis in which historical decompositions of key macro variables are quantitatively assessed after 2000. While the monetary policy during the global financial crisis have reacted systematically in accordance with the estimated Taylor rule relatively, the fiscal policy which was aggressively expansionary is not fully explained by the estimated fiscal rule but more by the large magnitude of non-systematic reaction.

Keywords

DSGE(동태확률모형), Bayesian Estimation(베이지안 추정), Korean Economy(한국경제), Small Open Economy(소규모 개방경제)

JEL Code

E3, E5, C5

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